{"id":31786,"date":"2025-12-02T09:52:45","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T09:52:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/?post_type=article&#038;p=31786"},"modified":"2026-01-27T11:45:11","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T11:45:11","slug":"in-complex-environments-robust-processes-and-a-learning-culture-are-essential","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/in-complex-environments-robust-processes-and-a-learning-culture-are-essential\/","title":{"rendered":"In Complex Environments, Robust Processes and a Learning Culture Are Essential"},"content":{"rendered":"<!-- blocks\/hero-editorial -->\n<!-- inc\/hero-editorial -->\n<div class=\"hero es-hero__editorial hero--var-1\" role=\"banner\">\n\t<div class=\"hero__image\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/app\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2239437349-scaled.jpg);\">\n\n\t\t<div class=\"hero__overlay grad-overlay 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                                          <div class=\"es-section__sidebar es-section__sidebar--sticky col col--12 \">\n                                                            <p class=\"es-section__label es-label es-label--md\">Everton\u2019s Head of Sport Science Jack Nayler concludes his exploration of complexity in sport by outlining what it takes to be resilient and adaptable under pressure.<\/p>\n                            \n                            \n                            \n                                                            <div class=\"es-section__text content-area\">\n                                    <p><h6>By Jack Nayler<\/h6>\n<h6>During the course of this series we have explored <a href=\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/what-are-complex-environments-and-what-are-their-implications-for-leaders\/\">the hallmarks<\/a> that define complex environments.<\/h6>\n<p>We also looked further at <a href=\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/sport-is-complex-what-does-that-mean-for-how-we-prepare-athletes\/\">the implications<\/a>\u00a0for this in a sporting organisation, notably that complexity is fractal, exists at different levels, and that each person within the organisation will exert different levels of influence over the performance at any given moment.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, I began to look at <a href=\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/the-leaders-paradox-the-closer-you-get-to-the-centre-of-a-complex-system-the-more-difficult-it-is-to-see-the-whole\/\">what this means<\/a> for those in leadership positions.<\/p>\n<p>Leadership in complexity requires you to have the humility to accept the ignorance of your position and the understanding that autocracy won\u2019t work. It is impossible to micro-manage every decision in the fast pace and short turnaround of games in a professional sports season. You will not be present to control every interaction that occurs and you will not possess all of the information available to make every decision.<\/p>\n<p>With the inherent fluctuations that occur in a complex environment, it is incumbent on the leaders to provide a framework within which everyone can operate, as effectively as possible, in a transdisciplinary manner.<\/p>\n<p>I believe there are four pillars to this framework, that are characteristics of high-performing environments.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>A clear direction of travel<\/li>\n<li>Solid collective decision-making processes<\/li>\n<li>Processes robust to pressure<\/li>\n<li>A culture of curiosity and learning<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Your role as a leader is to ensure that these are in place so your team operates as effectively as possible.<\/p>\n<p>I explored the first two pillars <a href=\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/the-leaders-paradox-the-closer-you-get-to-the-centre-of-a-complex-system-the-more-difficult-it-is-to-see-the-whole\/\">here<\/a>. Let\u2019s now delve into the third and fourth pillars below.<\/p>\n<ol start=\"3\">\n<li><strong> Processes robust to pressure<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>The complexity of the sporting season ensures that as results wax and wane so will pressure and external noise. The processes you have in place need protecting from this pressure and the associated emotion.<\/p>\n<p>For some simpler tasks and processes you can have checklists or flight manuals where processes can be recorded, ratified and referred back to (1). However, these only go so far and will be less useful as the complexity dials up.<\/p>\n<p>When you and your staff are committed to helping the team perform, it is easy (or just human nature) to become overly emotional about performances (both positively and negatively), and this can leach into your decision-making processes. Leaders need to be aware of the propensity for this as well as the influence of subconscious bias on any decision making (this is a wider topic than the scope of this series but a good place to start is Thinking Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman, 2). Setting up your team\/environment to reduce the effect of these factors is key to leading your team effectively.<\/p>\n<p>As the leader, with your wider viewpoint and greater access to those higher up the organisational hierarchy, you should have a greater appreciation of the pressures you and your team face. As emotions tend to affect quality decision making, it is your job to be judicial over which pressures you allow to filter through to your team and which you will bear.<\/p>\n<p>Objectivity must become a cornerstone of making decisions. We need to collect data on the subject (player or situation) over which we are trying to make a decision. This data then needs turning into information (tables, graphs and other visualisations) by adding context (use of appropriate statistics) to help the reader understand the magnitude of any effect. This information turns into knowledge when the reader reflects on the new information, with respect to what they already know and understand.<\/p>\n<p>As we have discussed, each person will have their own unique take on a given set of information. Organisations that can successfully make the leap from individual to organisation level knowledge will be better prepared to perform in complexity.<\/p>\n<p>The threat to an organisation if knowledge sits siloed with individuals is two-fold. Firstly, the quality of the decisions being made will fall and secondly the organisation is fragile to an individual leaving and removing the intellectual property (IP) from the building.<\/p>\n<p>I believe the threat to the organisation is greater from the loss when IP walks out of your facility, than if that person was to be employed by a rival team. As each organisation is its own complex mix of culture, practitioners and athletes, it is difficult to transfer tacit knowledge from one environment directly into another.<\/p>\n<p>Once you have objective information around which you can make decisions, you can begin to plan what you and your team will deliver. This planning process provides a framework for everyone involved to work within and should remain just that: a framework. Remember that in complexity the person closest to the action has the most information in a given moment. This framework provides a set of parameters that act as a fallback, against which new information can be assessed. In the moment, under pressure, this framework coupled with a clearly understood direction of travel from you as leader should help the practitioner on the ground make a better decision.<\/p>\n<p>As the outcomes of the decisions we have made as a team become apparent our framework can become the basis against which we can reflect and review the decisions made, by providing a reminder of the conditions as they existed in that moment. This again helps to objectify the review process and fosters a culture of psychological safety (3).<\/p>\n<p>Understanding the complex nature of this environment has helped me to appreciate that we cannot get everything right all of the time (remember there is never a perfect game) and my first thought when things fall down is: how could I, \u00a0as an intrinsic part of this complex system, have acted differently through the process to have affected a better outcome? This helps me to remain less emotional when analysing failures as and when they happen. I do this before turning my lens outwards to think how we could have done better as a team.<\/p>\n<ol start=\"4\">\n<li><strong> A culture of curiosity and learning<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>The fact that complex systems are never perfect and we cannot predict outcomes with 100% accuracy creates uncertainty. In their book Radical Uncertainty, John Kay and Mervyn King describe uncertainty as \u201cthe result of our incomplete knowledge of the world, or about the connection between our present actions and their future outcomes.\u201d (P. 13, 4). We need all members of the team to understand that although this space is uncertain, performance will emerge from it.<\/p>\n<p>There is then a gap that exists between our expectations and the outcomes. Acknowledging the inevitable existence of this gap allows the leader to be more sanguine and less frustrated by it, putting us in a better headspace to explore why the gap exists like it does and how we can narrow it in the future. I see little point in the wasted energy that would be spent railing against this gap\u2019s existence. Rather I see this gap as the learning space, a space to be curious about. It is the space where the information mentioned in the previous section becomes knowledge.<\/p>\n<p>When we reflect on information in the context of what we already know, we develop our knowledge base. This should then spark off further questions as to why we ended with the result we did, restarting the cycle back to collecting more data. This process is critical in the complex world. As the system shifts and changes, so do our levels of expertise (5). Further, knowledge developed in other environments and populations diminishes in power the further away from that population it moves. The most powerful learning will come from research done in our own group of athletes. This should be a mix of quick and dirty in-house enquiry and more formalised research carried out with partner universities and led by in-house research and development departments.<\/p>\n<p>You also need to lead your team into this gap by putting in place structures that allow your team the time and space for reflection. We are really good in team sports at planning and doing, before all too soon the next fixture rears its head. You need to be intentional about reflecting and reviewing. Reflecting skills can be learnt and should be fostered amongst your team. Make reviews normal and model behaviour by openly reviewing the things you personally have done and seeking feedback. This normalises the feedback process and creates space for you to feedback to your team members more easily (6). Mix regular small hot reviews in the moment (7) with more analytical, larger reviews. In these, review a specific subject (e.g. grade 2b hamstring injury rehab) as opposed to generalised time periods (e.g. pre-season). Signpost your reviewing &#8211; create a structure or framework around how you want to reflect and share it with the team ahead of time. Your team should then turn up in the spirit of reflection, rather than having it sprung upon them. Most critical of all is to have concrete outcomes that everyone is aware of and can be held to.<\/p>\n<p>The second space we need to be mindful of as leaders is the space from which the performance of our team emerges.<\/p>\n<p>In 2012, Google embarked on a large study to try and discover what made a successful team within their organisation, they called it Project Aristotle (8). Google studied 180 teams from across the business and looked many combinations of factors (e.g. personality traits, emotional intelligence, demographics and skillsets of team members) that they hoped would indicate levels of learning and performance. Whichever way they crunched the data, they could find no pattern as to what would bring success. Some of the factors that did not influence team success intuitively sounds like items that would be important when trying to build a successful team:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Location of teammates<\/li>\n<li>Consensus-driven decision making<\/li>\n<li>Extroversion of members<\/li>\n<li>Individual performance of team members<\/li>\n<li>Workload size<\/li>\n<li>Seniority<\/li>\n<li>Team size<\/li>\n<li>Amount of time spent working at Google<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Eventually the researchers looked away from the hard skills and instead looked at interactions between team members, driven by the work of Amy Edmondson, Professor of Leadership and Management at Harvard Business School. Professor Edmondson\u2019s research has also studied effective teams and the work at Google confirmed her theories. The number one factor that will describe team success is termed psychological safety, which she describes as \u201ca shared belief held by members of a team that the team is safe for interpersonal risk-taking\u2026 a sense of confidence that the team will not embarrass, reject or punish someone for speaking up\u201d (P. 354, 3).<\/p>\n<p>A psychologically safe environment is one which recognises that the space between the components of the complex system is where the magic happens and works to ensure that all members of the team can lean into said space.<\/p>\n<p>In a complex world, we cannot see the connection between our decisions and their future impact, we only make sense of them with hindsight. As the author Robert Louis Stevenson said: \u201cThe worst historian has a clearer view of the period he studies than the best of us can hope to form of that in which we live. The obscurest epoch is to-day.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>However, there is evidence to suggest that better predictions and decision making come from cultures that \u201charness the power of collectives and encourage diverse opinions, perspectives and collaborative teamwork\u201d (9).<\/p>\n<p>The challenge we face when leading in an increasingly complex world is that it is constantly shifting in front of us, and we only see what is happening through our lens. There are a whole host of things we cannot see and second and third order effects that we cannot predict. Therefore, any time we take an immovable position or opinion, we are also opening ourselves up to being incorrect.<\/p>\n<p>As leaders these positions, either polarised, immovable (or worse, both) are dangerous places to be. This is demonstrated by the work of Philip Tetlock, summarised in his book, Expert Political Judgement: How good is it, how can we know? Over a nearly 20 year period Tetlock ran forecasting tournaments with 284 experts from a variety of fields, leading to 28000 predictions (10).<\/p>\n<p>Experts were only slightly more likely than chance to be correct, however the interesting part was in discovering that how the experts thought was more important than what they thought when it came to the accuracy of their predictions. Tetlock characterises these two styles as Foxes and Hedgehogs after the title of an essay by the philosopher Isaiah Berlin, based on a quote by the Greek philosopher, Archilochus: \u201ca fox knows many things, but a hedgehog knows one big thing\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>When the hedgehog is challenged, they curl up in a ball with their spikes out to deflect the world. It is the same with the experts, their position is immovable, and they deflect critique. Experts who were more fox like were less sure of their predictions and more willing to change them as events unfolded. Foxes were more likely to be accurate in their predictions than hedgehogs in the long-term. Hedgehogs had the potential to be more precise, but with a much greater chance of being wrong. When dealing in complex environments, when you are wrong, you have the potential to be spectacularly wrong.<\/p>\n<p>By contrast, foxes will recognise that they do not have a complete perspective and therefore not all of the answers. They will lean into the space between themselves and others, inviting their perspective and collaboration, seeking to co-create solutions for the best possible outcome.<\/p>\n<p>To develop a climate in which foxes can flourish, we must create psychologically safe environments that protect the space between the members of our teams as sacred and encourage them to lean into these spaces to collaborate and provide diverse perspectives. Edmondson (3) describes it as \u201ca team climate characterized by interpersonal trust and mutual respect in which people are comfortable being themselves.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>This process takes modelling from us as leaders. If we cannot show up, be true to ourselves and honestly lean into the space between us, those we lead, and our teammates, then we can never hope to engage others to do the same. If we fail to do this effectively, we may struggle to create a high performing environment.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Further thinking<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>How are you able to cut through the noise to create clarity for your team in a complex environment?<\/li>\n<li>Are you able to remain consistent in your convictions?<\/li>\n<li>How able are you to let go of decisions and instead empower your team to make better ones?<\/li>\n<li>What information do you possess as a leader that you can share with your team to help inform their decision making?<\/li>\n<li>Can you insulate your team and their processes from unnecessary noise and pressure when needed?<\/li>\n<li>Where do you create space for reviewing and learning?<\/li>\n<li>Do you intentionally seek feedback? Where?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Bottom line<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Throughout this series, I have endeavoured to explain the way that I have come to see the world and, because I work in performance sport, how this applies in that context.<\/p>\n<p>In the spirit of this, I also see how it has emerged from my own upbringing, education and experience to form in this way, at this point, and that you may well see things differently. This is OK because we all encounter this world in different ways. As my own experience grows, I am sure these ideas will develop and adapt.<\/p>\n<p>The biggest messages I would wish to convey is that as a leader, show up and be authentic to yourself and your beliefs, don\u2019t be afraid to try things and fail (as long as you\u2019re willing to do the work to understand why) and go looking for feedback.<\/p>\n<p>Writing is a fantastic way to force you to critically confront your thoughts and assumptions, and writing for an audience, to distil your ideas down as succinctly as possible.\u00a0 I would recommend it as an exercise for anyone leading or aspiring to lead as clear communication of your ideas helps bring people on a journey with you.<\/p>\n<p><strong>References<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Gawande, A., 2010. The checklist manifesto: How to get things right. London: Profile Books.<\/li>\n<li>Kahneman, D. (2011) <em>Thinking, Fast and Slow<\/em>. London: Penguin Books.<\/li>\n<li>Edmondson, Amy C. (1999). <em>Psychological Safety and Learning Behavior in Work Teams<\/em>. <em>Administrative Science Quarterly<\/em>, 44(2), 350-383<\/li>\n<li>Kay, J. and King, M., 2020. Radical Uncertainty: Decision-making for an unknowable future. London: The Bridge Street Press<\/li>\n<li>Cook, R.I., 2000. How Complex Systems Fail. [online] Available at: https:\/\/how.complexsystems.fail\/ [Accessed 29 September 2025]<\/li>\n<li>Scott, K., 2019. Radical Candor: How to Get What You Want by Saying What You Mean (Fully revised and updated edition). London: Pan Books.<\/li>\n<li>Scott, M., 2019. \u2018Thinking On Your Feet: How Coaches Can Use Reflection-in-Action to Develop their Coaching Craft\u2019. <em>Applied Coaching Research Journal<\/em>, 4, pp. 10\u201315.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/rework.withgoogle.com\/intl\/en\/guides\/understanding-team-effectiveness\">https:\/\/rework.withgoogle.com\/intl\/en\/guides\/understanding-team-effectiveness<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Wilson, P.J. and Kiely, J., 2023. Developing decision-making expertise in professional sports staff: what we can learn from the Good Judgement Project. <em>Sports Medicine \u2013 Open<\/em>, 9(1), 100.<\/li>\n<li>Tetlock, P.E., 2005. Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/p>\n                                <\/div>\n                            \n                            \n                            \n                                                    <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"col visibly-hidden col--flex-align-right\">\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n        <\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":31787,"menu_order":0,"template":"","categories":[400],"pathway":[295],"topic":[297,301,318,298],"sport":[303],"class_list":["post-31786","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-open-access","pathway-leadership-development","topic-adaptability","topic-agility","topic-alignment","topic-communication","sport-football"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>In Complex Environments, Robust Processes and a Learning Culture Are Essential - Performance Institute<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/in-complex-environments-robust-processes-and-a-learning-culture-are-essential\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"In Complex Environments, Robust Processes and a Learning Culture Are Essential - Performance Institute\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/in-complex-environments-robust-processes-and-a-learning-culture-are-essential\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Performance Institute\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-01-27T11:45:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/app\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2239437349-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/in-complex-environments-robust-processes-and-a-learning-culture-are-essential\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/in-complex-environments-robust-processes-and-a-learning-culture-are-essential\/\",\"name\":\"In Complex Environments, Robust Processes and a Learning Culture Are Essential - Performance Institute\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/in-complex-environments-robust-processes-and-a-learning-culture-are-essential\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/in-complex-environments-robust-processes-and-a-learning-culture-are-essential\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/app\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2239437349-scaled.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-12-02T09:52:45+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-01-27T11:45:11+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/in-complex-environments-robust-processes-and-a-learning-culture-are-essential\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/in-complex-environments-robust-processes-and-a-learning-culture-are-essential\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/performance-institute\/articles\/in-complex-environments-robust-processes-and-a-learning-culture-are-essential\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/app\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2239437349-scaled.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/leadersinsport.com\/app\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2239437349-scaled.jpg\",\"width\":2560,\"height\":1707,\"caption\":\"LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 05: Iliman Ndiaye of Everton scores his team's first goal from the penalty spot during the Premier League match between Everton and Crystal Palace at Hill Dickinson Stadium on October 05, 2025 in Liverpool, England. 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